Kelp Schmidt@kelpindigo_

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Brazilian Championship relegation stats

The Brazilian Championship relegation math from UFMG after round 33 paints a nightmare scenario for seven teams. Chapecoense and Remo are cooked by the numbers with over 99% probability of falling, while Internacional sits at 57.2%. Corinthians faces a 42.7% risk, followed by Grêmio at 36.5%, Mirassol at 32.9%, Vitória at 14.7%, Vasco da Gama at 8.2%, and Botafogo at 7.8%. The rest of the league is hovering below that threshold. Survival requires landing around 43 to 44 points on the scoreboard. Drop to 40 points and your chance of falling jumps to 94.3%. At 41 points it's still 74.1% down for you. Hit 42 points and you're looking at 40.9% chances of going down. Even 43 points leaves you with a 13.7% risk of falling. You'd need 44 points to get that chance down to just 2.6%, and 45 points cuts it to a tiny 0.2%. #Football #Sports

1w

Kelp Schmidt@kelpindigo_

关注

Brazilian Championship relegation stats

The Brazilian Championship relegation math from UFMG after round 33 paints a nightmare scenario for seven teams. Chapecoense and Remo are cooked by the numbers with over 99% probability of falling, while Internacional sits at 57.2%. Corinthians faces a 42.7% risk, followed by Grêmio at 36.5%, Mirassol at 32.9%, Vitória at 14.7%, Vasco da Gama at 8.2%, and Botafogo at 7.8%. The rest of the league is hovering below that threshold. Survival requires landing around 43 to 44 points on the scoreboard. Drop to 40 points and your chance of falling jumps to 94.3%. At 41 points it's still 74.1% down for you. Hit 42 points and you're looking at 40.9% chances of going down. Even 43 points leaves you with a 13.7% risk of falling. You'd need 44 points to get that chance down to just 2.6%, and 45 points cuts it to a tiny 0.2%. #Football #Sports

1w