Kalshi

Kalshi just saw a $2,500 trade from Fivio Foreign on X betting James Talarico wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas

Fivio Foreign Kalshi trade

Republicans hold 53 Senate seats right now and can drop three while keeping the majority, but Cook final ratings list six toss-up races all held by GOP. Winning four of those six specific contests is the only path to… 显示更多

🔥🚨BREAKING: Susan Collins is reportedly given a 3 in 10 shot to hold Maine, and she won in 2020 despite trailing in the polls 🔵 Troy Jackson (D) 51% 🔴 Susan Collins (R) 45% 📊 Final NYT/Siena poll, ±4.7 🎲… 显示更多

The numbers for North Carolina are actually grim for Republicans trying to hold this open seat. Polymarket puts Michael Whatley's win odds between 2% and 3%, while Kalshi lines up right there at 3%. Polling averages have… 显示更多

Kalshi has Ashley Hinson as a 51% favorite to keep Iowa red, even though the final NYT/Siena poll puts Josh Turek at 48% and Hinson at 47%, both with a ±4.7 margin of error. Polymarket is slightly more cautious,… 显示更多

Polymarket and Kalshi both assign a 72% chance of victory to Anthony Constantino for the NY-21 seat previously held by Elise Stefanik, even though the Times Union/Siena poll listed Blake Gendebien at 46% and Constantino… 显示更多

If Mike Rogers pulls off a win in the Michigan Senate race, Abdul El-Sayed becomes the first Muslim U.S. senator ever. The numbers from NYT/Siena show El-Sayed at 53% and Rogers at 42%, with a margin of error of ±3.8… 显示更多

🔥🚨DEVELOPING: Republicans are reportedly given a 3 in 10 shot to hold Ohio, and Cook still calls Jon Husted's race a toss-up 🔵 Sherrod Brown (D) 49% 🔴 Jon Husted (R) 44% 📊 Final NYT/Siena poll, ±4.4 🎲 Polymarket:… 显示更多

Offset on IG says he did a $5,000 trade on Kalshi for Keisha Lance Bottoms to win Georgia

Offset Kalshi trade

🔥🚨🇺🇸 It's getting WILD!! KALSHI NOW SAYS 86.5% CHANCE DEMS CONTROL SENATE! REPUBLICANS HAVE LESS THAN 10 PERCENT CHANCE TO CONTROL HOUSE! Writer: Jamie

Mario Nawfal election odds infographic

Kalshi just secured an additional funding round of $1 billion, landing a valuation of $40 billion. The organization intends to broaden its offerings to include stocks, compute, and indices while planning to enter… 显示更多

Kalshi $40 billion valuation

Polls capture a moment. Markets keep updating as new information comes in. A study of 2M+ markets found that prices closely tracked real-world outcomes.

Kalshi Calibration by Time Horizon

Canelo keeps the favorite spot in the new Kalshi campaign thanks to his actions

Canelo Álvarez is in a new Kalshi commercial about his Rags-to-Riches transition from poverty to boxing success

The pitch is that these platforms are oracles for truth, and I just don't buy it. When the wager is whether a certain word leaves someone's mouth during a speech, and that someone is Donald Trump, with his track record… 显示更多